Cool, clear nights and mostly sunny days dominate West Central Texas this week. Expect low 40s (some 30s in hollows) overnight, a warm push to the mid/upper 70s Friday, a weak cold front with low rain chances Saturday (mainly east), then a warming trend into the 80s early next week — great daytime weather but bring warm layers for camping and evening events.
Updated:
This forecast covers the full West Central Texas area served by the San Angelo office — including the Concho Valley, Big Country, Edwards Plateau and communities from Abilene to Junction and Ozona — not just the city of San Angelo.
A quick, direct translation of the San Angelo Area Forecast Discussion for outdoor adventurers: the next week will be defined by cool, crisp nights and mostly sunny days with a short interruption late Friday into Saturday as a weak cold front brushes the eastern counties. Overnight lows tonight and a couple of upcoming nights will tumble into the low-to-mid 40s across most spots, with the coldest pockets — low-lying hollows and river valleys — dipping into the 30s. Daytime energy returns quickly; highs climb into the mid-to-upper 70s on Friday thanks to a southerly push ahead of a weak lee-side trough, then dip a bit around Saturday with the frontal passage before a gradual warming trend raises highs into the upper 70s and low 80s early next week.
Synoptic picture in plain language: a departing surface high that gave us near-freezing starts will ease eastward tonight while northwest flow aloft persists. That means light winds and radiational cooling tonight (hence the chilly lows). Southerly flow strengthens Friday as a weak trough just east of the Rockies nudges warmer air into the region — expect the warmest daytime window Friday. A weak cold front arrives Saturday and will bring only low rain chances (around 20 percent, mainly for eastern counties). After that, upper-level ridging rebuilds and we see a warming trend through midweek.
What that means for your outdoor plans: days are mostly sunny and excellent for active pursuits — hiking, trail running, mountain biking and photography — but you must plan for surprisingly cold nights if you’re camping or doing evening events. Halloween evening will start in the lower 70s but fall into the 40s after dark, so layers and insulated jackets are essential if you’re handing out candy or doing an evening trail run. Winds are generally light most days, though Saturday brings a north-to-northeast breeze of 5–15 mph — enough to influence river paddling and open-plain wind-sports, and to make exposed ridgelines feel noticeably cooler.
Regional nuances: the Concho Valley and San Angelo State Park will be pleasant for mid-day hikes and lake activities Friday and again Sunday through midweek. The Big Country (Abilene area) sees similar timing, though eastern Big Country zones carry the slightly higher rain odds Saturday. In the Edwards Plateau and areas around Junction and the South Llano River, mornings will be the coldest; daybreak fog is possible in low spots where temperatures dip into the 30s. Western counties toward Ozona and far west sites remain mostly dry but cool at night.
Hazards for adventurers: cold overnight temps can produce frost in low-lying campsites and on exposed tent surfaces — pack a warmer sleeping bag than you might expect and keep electronics and water from freezing in the coldest pockets. The air is notably dry (very low dew points reported), so fire danger and rapid moisture loss during strenuous activities are concerns — follow local fire regulations and carry extra water. The weak Saturday front may bring a few light showers to eastern counties; it’s not a washout, but trail surfaces can turn slick and visibility can drop briefly in any showers.
Timing and tactical advice: aim for strenuous outings during late morning to mid-afternoon when temperatures are most comfortable (mid 60s to mid 70s for the weekend). If you’re camping, expect the coldest nights tonight and Saturday night — pick campsites off low benches and out of frost-prone hollows, and layer up for the evenings. If you depend on wind (kiteboarding, certain adventures on open lakes), Saturday’s NNE breeze is the most likely window for consistent winds; otherwise, most days are light and favored for paddling and calm-water photography.
Bottom line for planners: an overall friendly stretch for daytime outdoor activity with two caveats — cold nights that demand warm overnight gear and a small mid-weekend frontal wrinkle that brings a low chance of showers mainly east of Interstate 35 on Saturday. No watches or warnings are expected; keep an eye on overnight lows if you have fragile cargo or early-morning starts.
Key takeaways for types of adventure: day hikes, trail runs, and road cycling score high Friday and again Sunday–Wednesday; camping will require cold-weather readiness (layers, warm sleeping bag); and evening or Halloween activities need a clear plan for falling temperatures. Expect mostly sunny skies, light winds, and a warming trend into next week — a classic West Central Texas autumn pattern: cool starts, pleasant days, and dry conditions with a brief front to keep things interesting.
Sunny days and light winds make most daytime activities excellent; colder nights and a small Saturday shower risk in eastern counties knock points off for overnight or rain-dependent plans.
Daytime hiking, trail running, and cycling favored (mid 60s to low 80s).
Camping and overnight activities require cold-weather gear (30s in low spots).
Low chance of showers Saturday favors inland activities in western counties; eastern counties have slightly higher risk.
Wind sports have a modest window Saturday with NNE 5–15 mph winds; other days are lighter and better for calm-water paddling.
A departing surface high allows radiational cooling tonight, then southerly flow ahead of a weak lee-side trough brings warmer air Friday. A weak cold front crosses the area Saturday with only low shower chances for eastern counties, followed by upper-level ridging and a warming trend early next week.
Surface high shifting east — cold nights with light winds
Weak lee-side trough east of the Rockies — southerly warm advection Friday
Shortwave trough/cold front arriving Saturday — low rain chances mainly east
Upper-level ridging returning early next week — warming into the 70s/80s
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Mostly sunny days and light winds through Friday and again Sunday–midweek create excellent daytime visibility and pleasant trail temps — watch for cold starts in the morning.
Late morning to mid-afternoon (10:00–16:00), avoid pre-dawn unless prepared for 30s–40s
Cold campsite mornings and low humidity; bring insulating layers and extra water.
Saturday's front brings cooler temps and a breezy NNE wind — choose sheltered singletrack to avoid headwinds and possible slick roots if eastern rain occurs.
Saturday morning for cooler temps; pick mid-morning if you want drier trails after any pre-dawn moisture
Watch for slick surfaces after light showers in eastern counties; bring a light wind layer.
Light winds and sunny afternoons through much of the week make for stable lake paddling — warmer mid-week temps expand comfortable windows for longer trips.
Midweek (Mon–Wed) for the warmest afternoons; early mornings are colder but calm
Dry air increases dehydration risk; plan for sun protection and bring a towline or bilge pump for longer trips.
Halloween evening starts warm (low 70s) but collapses into the 40s overnight. Warm layers and quick access to shelter make the difference for kids and volunteers outdoors.
Evening hours (18:00–21:00) — bring insulated outer layers for later
Cold after sunset — include hats and gloves for children and volunteers.
Afternoons warm into the 60s–70s, but nights fall into the 30s–40s. Layering (base, insulating mid-layer, wind shell) keeps you comfortable from dawn patrol to late-night campfire.
Dew points are very low this week. Carry extra water on rides and hikes and plan rest stops; dry air increases sweat evaporation and dehydration.
A weak Saturday front could produce light showers primarily in eastern counties — watch for slick roots and muddy patches on shaded trails.
Cold pockets and valley bottoms may dip into the 30s — ground frost is possible and will make tent floors and gear damp in the morning.
Key for cold mornings and rapidly cooling evenings — lightweight but warm.
Dry air increases fluid needs; carry more water than usual for rides and hikes.
Useful for breezy Saturday conditions and any brief showers in eastern zones.
Overnight lows can dip into the 30s — a warmer bag improves comfort and safety.
High sun and low humidity make UV exposure significant during midday.
Shorter days and early dusk for safe evening navigation.
"Concho River ramble trails near downtown San Angelo for quiet morning photowalks"
"South Llano River short loops for birding and spring-fed pools"
"Less-visited canyon tracks west of Brady for sunrise vistas"
"Migratory songbirds taking stopovers along rivers"
"White-tailed deer active in dawn/dusk hours"
"Raptors hunting thermals mid-afternoon"
"West Central Texas carries ranching and frontier heritage — many trails and river accesses follow old cattle routes and historic ranch roads. Take time to interpret landscape features and respect private land."
"Drier-than-normal conditions emphasize the need for Leave No Trace practices and following local fire restrictions. Stay on established trails to prevent erosion and protect fragile riparian zones."
"Concho River ramble trails near downtown San Angelo for quiet morning photowalks"
"South Llano River short loops for birding and spring-fed pools"
"Less-visited canyon tracks west of Brady for sunrise vistas"
"Migratory songbirds taking stopovers along rivers"
"White-tailed deer active in dawn/dusk hours"
"Raptors hunting thermals mid-afternoon"
"West Central Texas carries ranching and frontier heritage — many trails and river accesses follow old cattle routes and historic ranch roads. Take time to interpret landscape features and respect private land."
"Drier-than-normal conditions emphasize the need for Leave No Trace practices and following local fire restrictions. Stay on established trails to prevent erosion and protect fragile riparian zones."
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