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El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM CWA (EPZ)

Borderland Clear Skies: A Calm, Warm Week for Hiking, Climbing, and Night Skies

Clear, warm days and cold, crisp nights dominate the Borderland through early November. Expect sunny skies, light winds except for gusty conditions Friday, very low afternoon humidity, and excellent stargazing — great for hiking, climbing, and photography if you pack warm layers and respect fire-safety guidance.

October 31, 2025
85Rating
Hazard Level: ELEVATED

El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM, New Mexico

EPZ

Updated:

NWS El Paso TX / Santa Teresa NM (EPZ)

This forecast covers the Borderland region served by the El Paso / Santa Teresa office — including El Paso, southern Doña Ana County, Luna, Hidalgo, Grant, Sierra, Otero and surrounding mountain ranges and desert basins — not just the city named in the office title.

El Paso Metro & Franklin Mountains
West Texas Borderland Plains
Doña Ana County & Mesilla Valley
Organ, Jornada & Robledo Ranges
Sacramento & Black Range (Silver City area)
Sierra Blanca / Cloudcroft high country
Gila and Bootheel foothills (Grant County, Hidalgo County)

Detailed Forecast Analysis

October 31, 2025

The Borderland settles into a quiet, sun-filled pattern for Halloween and through early November. Expect clear skies, above-normal daytime temperatures, and largely dry air — the kind of week that invites trail time, boulder sessions, and long evening stargazes. The underlying setup: a persistent northwest flow through the weekend keeps very dry continental air in place, then a ridge builds briefly early next week followed by a fast-moving trough that establishes a westerly component. Models differ slightly on how warm next week gets, but the signal is consistent — mild days, chilly nights, and only one day with a notable uptick in wind.

What the forecasts translate to for adventurers:

  • Temperatures: Daytime highs generally in the low to upper 70s F across lowlands and valley floors (mid 60s to 70s at some foothills), with nights dropping into the 20s–30s F, and the coldest valley pockets seeing single digits to low 20s on colder nights. For mountain campers and high-elevation hikers (Cloudcroft, Timberon, Sierra Blanca), anticipate distinctly cooler daytime highs and much colder overnight lows. Plan for a full range of layers.

  • Wind: Mostly light and variable overnight, then breezy to gusty in the afternoon on Friday. Forecasters highlighted Friday as the one day with sustained 10–20 mph winds and gusts to ~30 mph over parts of the forecast area (especially ridgelines and exposed desert passes). Outside Friday, winds are generally light–moderate.

  • Humidity & fire concerns: Relative humidity will crash into the lower-to-mid teens each afternoon across many lowland zones, recovering into the 40s–50s overnight. Typical cold pockets see RH recoveries into the 70s–80s overnight. The combination of low afternoon RH and Friday gusts elevates fire-weather awareness — while no watches or warnings are in effect, treat open-fire and spark-generating activities cautiously.

  • Precipitation: Essentially nil through the period. VFR conditions for pilots and excellent visibility for photographers and navigators.

How to use this week: daytime warmth and blue skies are ideal for long hikes, mountain biking on the lower elevation trails, rock climbing where approach exposure to wind is limited, and desert trail running. Early mornings and nights will be decisively cold — expect frost in low-lying valleys; tent campers should bring a warm bag and insulated sleeping pad. Friday afternoon is the wind day: avoid exposed ridgelines for bike or alpine-style climbs, stow lightweight tarps and wind-sensitive gear, and postpone any aerial sports (paragliding, kiteboarding — not applicable inland but keep it in mind for windy passes) to calmer windows.

Regional nuance: the El Paso metro and Mesilla Valley will enjoy the warmest afternoons and the gentlest overnight recoveries. The Organ Mountains and Franklin ridges will be significantly windier on Friday and noticeably cooler at night. Cloudcroft, Timberon, and other high-elevation spots will be pleasant by day for short summit hikes but require winter-type overnight gear.

Adventure-friendly takeaways: 1) Best daytime windows are mid-morning through early afternoon for sustained activity; 2) expect excellent stargazing each night thanks to clear skies and low humidity — but bundle up; 3) Friday calls for wind-aware route planning; 4) the dry, warm pattern is great for trail maintenance, desert navigation practice, and photography but raises the bar on responsible fire behavior.

This is a straightforward week for getting outside: choose your zone, pick the right layers, watch Friday wind forecasts, and treat dry afternoons with respect for fire safety. The Borderland rewards early risers and late-evening photographers over the next seven days — just mind the thermals and gusts on Friday and the frosty pockets each morning.

Weather Rating Analysis

Broadly favorable conditions: mild daytime temps, clear skies, and dry air make this week excellent for hiking, climbing, and night photography. Score is reduced slightly due to Friday’s gusty winds and low afternoon humidity raising wildfire and exposure concerns.

Activity Suitability:

Daytime non-technical hiking, trail running, and mountain biking rate highest — warm, dry, and clear.

Camping receives a mixed bias: excellent daytime conditions and night skies but requires warm overnight gear due to cold lows.

Aerial sports, exposed ridge-line climbs, and any activity producing sparks are discouraged Friday due to gusts and low RH.

Forecast Summary

A northwest flow holds very dry continental air across the Borderland through the weekend, followed by a brief ridge then a fast-moving trough that establishes westerly flow early next week. The net result: above-normal highs, chilly nights, and mainly dry conditions with one notably breezy day.

Key Drivers:

Persistent northwest flow and dry continental air mass this weekend

Ridge building early next week (brief warming)

Fast-moving trough following the ridge establishing westerly flow

Model spread (ECMWF slightly warmer than GFS) but ensemble means agree on mild, dry trend

Localized afternoon gustiness Friday (10–20 mph with gusts to ~30 mph)

Confidence: HIGH

7-Day Adventure Forecast

Thu, Oct 30
sunny
High/Low:75° / 52°
Rain:0%
Wind:SSW 6 mph
high confidence

Ideal Activities:

Afternoon low-elevation hike (Mesilla Valley trails)
Bouldering/short climbs in Franklin Mountains
Evening stargazing (clear skies, low humidity)

Hazards:

dry afternoon fuels
cooler night temperatures
Fri, Oct 31
sunny
High/Low:73° / 26°
Rain:0%
Wind:NW 12 mph
high confidence

Ideal Activities:

Morning climbs before gusts pick up
Lower-elevation mountain biking (avoid ridge lines in afternoon)
Short trail runs mid-morning

Hazards:

gusty winds (afternoon)
very low afternoon RH — increased fire risk
cold morning lows
Sat, Nov 1
sunny
High/Low:74° / 23°
Rain:0%
Wind:NNW 4 mph
high confidence

Ideal Activities:

All-day hiking in lower Organ foothills
Trail maintenance or desert navigation practice
Camp setup with attention to overnight insulation

Hazards:

clearnight cold (frost in valleys)
low afternoon RH
Sun, Nov 2
sunny
High/Low:78° / 31°
Rain:0%
Wind:SSE 3 mph
high confidence

Ideal Activities:

Long valley hikes and road rides
Photography of warm light on the desert scrub
Easy rock routes on sheltered faces

Hazards:

low afternoon humidity
sun exposure (strong UV)
Mon, Nov 3
sunny
High/Low:77° / 31°
Rain:0%
Wind:SE 4 mph
moderate confidence

Ideal Activities:

Guided nature walks in Mesilla Valley
Technical crag routes early morning
Evening astronomy watching

Hazards:

cool overnight lows
low afternoon RH
Tue, Nov 4
sunny
High/Low:75° / 30°
Rain:0%
Wind:NW 5 mph
moderate confidence

Ideal Activities:

Trail running on protected routes
Day hikes below tree line in Sierra Blanca
Desert photography

Hazards:

cold starts
low humidity afternoons
Wed, Nov 5
sunny
High/Low:75° / 37°
Rain:0%
Wind:WNW 6 mph
moderate confidence

Ideal Activities:

Late-week ridge runs (on sheltered routes)
Photography at golden hour
Local day trips and family hikes

Hazards:

low afternoon humidity
cool overnight temperatures

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Top Adventure Recommendations

Mid-Elevation Day Hikes in the Organ Mountains

intermediate

Why Now:

Blue skies and mild daytime highs mean long, comfortable hiking windows; overnight lows will be cold so pack warm layers for the return.

Best Zones:

Dripping Springs Natural Area
Ape Canyon
Prospect Canyon

Timing:

Mid-morning to early afternoon (0900–1500) to avoid the cold morning start and late-day cooling.

Cautions:

Avoid exposed ridge traverses Friday afternoon when gusts reach 20–30 mph; secure loose gear and watch traction on sun-baked rock.

Franklin Mountains Bouldering & Short Climbs

intermediate

Why Now:

Sunny conditions, low humidity, and largely light winds make for excellent friction and long climbing windows during the day.

Best Zones:

Red Rock Trail boulder fields
Tom Mays area
Anthony Gap approaches

Timing:

Late morning to mid-afternoon; avoid late-night belays as nights get cold quickly.

Cautions:

Cold overnight temps require warm belay jackets; check for slickness on shaded rock in mornings from hoar/frost.

Desert Road Rides & Gravel Loops

moderate

Why Now:

Warm, sunny afternoons and low chance of precipitation create ideal conditions for long pedal sessions on valley roads and graded desert tracks.

Best Zones:

Mesilla Valley bike loops
Jornada del Muerto approach routes
Hwy 70 corridor around La Luz

Timing:

Early afternoon for the warmest air; start later in the morning if you prefer to ride in full sun.

Cautions:

Low afternoon RH increases dehydration risk — carry extra water and watch for gusty crosswinds Friday.

Clear-Sky Night Photography & Stargazing

beginner

Why Now:

Very low humidity and clear skies through the run create exceptional transparency and seeing, particularly away from city lights.

Best Zones:

White Sands HQ overlooks
Jornada Plain (dark-sky spots)
High-elevation pullouts near Cloudcroft

Timing:

After astronomical dusk — late evening through pre-dawn (bring headlamps and warm layers).

Cautions:

Overnight temps fall sharply; frost and condensation can affect gear. Park well off road and dress for sub-freezing temps in higher elevations.

Essential Trail Tips

Layer for Wide Thermal Swings

Pack a warm insulating layer and a wind shell even on warm afternoons — nights and early mornings will be cold enough for frost in many low-lying spots.

Respect Low Afternoon Humidity

Keep campfires, camp stoves, and spark-producing tools under control. Afternoon RH in the teens increases fire danger despite calm conditions most days.

Plan Around Friday’s Gusts

If your route includes exposed ridgelines or long ridge runs, choose a lower, sheltered alternative on Friday afternoon when gusts to ~30 mph are possible.

Protect Your Camera Gear Overnight

Clear nights bring condensation and rapidly dropping temperatures. Use silica packs, keep batteries warm, and allow lenses to equilibrate slowly to avoid moisture issues.

Recommended Gear

Essential

Insulating mid-layer (fleece/down)

Cold nights and morning frost make a warm mid-layer essential for camping and evening fieldwork.

Essential

Wind shell / lightweight hardshell

Protects against gusts Friday and provides protection during cool, windy afternoons.

Essential

Insulated sleeping bag (rated to at least 20°F)

Overnight lows drop into the 20s–30s; an insulated bag and pad are critical for comfort and safety.

Essential

Extra water & sun protection

Dry afternoons increase dehydration and sun exposure — carry more water than usual and use SPF clothing, hat, and sunscreen.

Recommended

Headlamp + spare batteries

For early starts, late returns, and night-sky photography sessions.

Recommended

Fire-safety kit (spark arrester, small shovel)

Useful where permitted; follow local regulations and avoid open flames on gusty afternoons.

Photography Tips

Best Times:

Golden hour mid-morning and late afternoon for warm desert light
After astronomical dusk for Milky Way and star fields
Pre-dawn for cold-air low-lying fog or frost contrast

Top Viewpoints:

Organ Mountains ridgeline pullouts for panoramic valley shots
Jornada elevated flats for Milky Way frames
West Franklin foothills for sunrise silhouettes

Subject Ideas:

Wide desert panoramas with crisp mid-day clarity
Night-sky constellations and Milky Way core
Detail shots of frost-etched vegetation in early morning

Frequently Asked Questions

Will we see any rain or snow this week?

How cold will it get at night in the mountains?

Is Friday dangerous for outdoor activity?

Do I need to worry about wildfire risk?

Are skies good for night photography?

Any special advice for beginners?

Local Insights

Hidden Gems

"Sunrise views from lower Dripping Springs backcountry corridors"

"Quiet dark-sky pullouts along the Jornada Plains"

"West-side Franklin boulder fields with southern exposures"

Wildlife

"Morning and dusk activity from jackrabbits and coyotes"

"Raptor sightings over open valleys (red-tailed hawks, kestrels)"

"Desert flora still showing late-season blooms in protected washes"

Historical Context

"The Borderland blends desert trade-route history with mining and ranching heritage; trailheads often intersect historical wagon tracks and old prospecting roads — respect private property and cultural sites."

Conservation

"With prolonged dry conditions, practice Leave No Trace and avoid open flames. Report any signs of wildfire immediately and follow local land-manager restrictions."

Hidden Gems

"Sunrise views from lower Dripping Springs backcountry corridors"

"Quiet dark-sky pullouts along the Jornada Plains"

"West-side Franklin boulder fields with southern exposures"

Wildlife

"Morning and dusk activity from jackrabbits and coyotes"

"Raptor sightings over open valleys (red-tailed hawks, kestrels)"

"Desert flora still showing late-season blooms in protected washes"

Historical Context

"The Borderland blends desert trade-route history with mining and ranching heritage; trailheads often intersect historical wagon tracks and old prospecting roads — respect private property and cultural sites."

Conservation

"With prolonged dry conditions, practice Leave No Trace and avoid open flames. Report any signs of wildfire immediately and follow local land-manager restrictions."

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